 
 


| Hong Kong and China: 
      Trade pact opens door to cronyism By Philip Bowring/IHT (IHT) Tuesday, June 24, 2003 
 Hong Kong's chief executive, Tung Chee-hwa, has hailed CEPA as a way 
      out of Hong Kong's difficulties and a step to restore confidence. Another 
      official described it as a "candy store." But at best it is a public 
      relations exercise largely devoid of content, intended to make the public 
      believe the unpopular government is taking meaningful steps to counter the 
      territory's economic difficulties. At worst it will it undermine Hong 
      Kong's position as a separate trading entity. In either case, the haste 
      with which it has been assembled will sully Hong Kong's reputation for 
      treating trade negotiations with the utmost seriousness.
       There is nothing intrinsically wrong with bilateral free trade 
      agreements. But the content and the motive of what is being rushed into 
      being are suspect. Foreign chambers of commerce have always been wary of 
      CEPA as at best a political stunt and possibly the thin end of a wedge 
      against foreign business in Hong Kong. The way this is now presented will 
      not relieve these suspicions, whatever made be said publicly.
       There is little significance in free trade in manufactured goods. Most 
      Hong Kong manufacturing has migrated across the border already. What 
      matters to Hong Kong is export of services and access to service 
      industries in China. The promise is that CEPA will give Hong Kong earlier 
      access than others to services to be liberalized in China under the rules 
      governing China's accession to the World Trade Organization. At first 
      glance that sounds good for Hong Kong. But the reality is different.
       First, the details of which industries will be affected and when seem 
      likely to be vague and entirely determined by China. Second, it seems 
      likely that China will decide on the criteria for giving preferential 
      treatment to Hong Kong companies. This would probably introduce an ethnic 
      or national element into the definition of a Hong Kong company - a 
      dangerous precedent for an economy that thrives on internationalism and a 
      level playing field.
       The arbitrary and discretionary nature of CEPA access would also open 
      up new avenues for corruption, from which Hong Kong is relatively immune, 
      and enlarge the scope for the favoritism and protection of oligarchies of 
      which the Hong Kong government is now often accused.
       Lastly, China's favoritism toward Hong Kong will undermine Hong Kong's 
      reputation at the WTO, where it is a champion of multilateralism, and 
      tempt other countries to extend any restrictions on Chinese products and 
      services to those from Hong Kong.
       Politically, CEPA enables Beijing to present itself as helping Hong 
      Kong in its hour of need, and for Tung to present the relationship with 
      the motherland as more beneficial than the public generally believes. Tung 
      doubtless hopes that it will help offset the resentment at new security 
      laws which many view as a serious threat to free speech and to Hong Kong's 
      internal autonomy. These are currently being bulldozed through a compliant 
      and unrepresentative legislature in the face of widespread opposition from 
      foreign governments as well as from local business, church and 
      professional groups and most directly elected politicians.
       It does not seem to occur to Tung that for a still very rich Hong Kong 
      to be looking for economic favors from a still poor mainland is both 
      demeaning for Hong Kong and a threat to the "one country, two systems" 
      concept, which is supposed to protect Hong Kong's separate status.
       CEPA is another example of an administration wanting to prove itself 
      more patriotic than even Beijing expects, and to subject business to 
      patriotic tests that can only undermine foreign interest in the territory 
      and enhance cronyism. CEPA is a Trojan horse.  | 


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